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Thursday, July 19, 2012

Midseason Reviews for Preseason Predictions -- Individual Awards Edition

Posted By on Thu, Jul 19, 2012 at 2:46 PM

click to enlarge This was a really, really terrible record. And this Nostradamus act is still light years better than mine. 
  • This was a really, really terrible record. And this Nostradamus act is still light years better than mine. 
You know, the All-Star break has come and gone. The second half (I should really put that in quotation marks, but screw it), of the baseball season is well and truly underway. 

I had a dozen different things I was planning on writing while the break was going on, all kinds of progress reports and looks both forward and back. Unfortunately, life has a funny way of pissing on all your best plans, and I didn't get any of those things done. It's irritating. 

However, just because the season is back to being played doesn't mean I can't still do some of those reviews and the like, right? Right. I'm glad you see it my way. 

Way back at the beginning of the season, I made a bunch of predictions. Why? Well, mostly because making predictions is fun. (They also make for an easy and very lazy column, but let's just pretend I didn't say that, alright?) I did individual awards predictions and team predictions both. In the spirit of both culpability and self-flagellation, I will now look back at my predictions and see how smart I am with three and a half months of baseball behind us. Today I'll do the individual awards; I'll tackle my guesses at team results tomorrow. 

Spoiler alert: I am apparently an idiot. 

National League 

Most Valuable Player -- Matt Holliday 

Holliday has actually been really, really good, and I don't think this was a bad choice at all. Even so, he has very little chance of winning the award; there have been a couple of transcendent performances in the NL to this point that are pretty much overshadowing Holliday in a major way. David Wright was the best player in the National League the first half, Joey Votto has huge offensive numbers and the pedigree of a former winner, and Ryan Braun has been on a bull testosterone-fueled rampage all season. 

At the moment, however, I think Andrew McCutcheon is the frontrunner, if the Pirates somehow keep up their current winning ways and earn a playoff berth for the first time in 20 years. So, not a bad pick on my part, but not one with much chance of coming true. Boo me. 

Cy Young Award -- Roy Halladay 

Oy. Halladay finally looks like age might be catching up with him a bit. (Along with the rest of his team, but I'll get to that in the team section.) He's missed time with injuries, and just hasn't looked quite like himself this year. Another miss for me. I thought Halladay would continue on as he has the past few years; I should have paid more attention to the inevitability of age, I guess. 

So who is going to win it? Well, at the moment it looks like R.A Dickey, the dude with the knuckleball who happens to be 37 years old. It's been that kind of first half. 

Rookie of the Year -- Devin Mesoraco 

Now this one isn't bad, but I still don't think it's going to be right. Mesoraco has been pretty good, really, but Bryce Harper is kind of a big deal for a reason. I should have listened to the hype. 

Comeback Player -- Johan Santana 

I think I might have gotten this one right. Santana hasn't been quite vintage; the Johan of 2004 is gone and not coming back. But, he's got a 3.59 ERA and is striking out nearly a batter an inning. Call him the Comeback Kid, and call me Nostragoddamndamus. (I really hope I don't have to write another column after the season lamenting how stupid I was to assume Santana would win.) 

Manager of the Year -- Mike Matheny 

Boo Mike Matheny. Boo me. And boo bunting in stupid situations, Mike. Stop fucking doing that! 

At the moment, this award has to be between Davey Johnson of the surprising Nationals or Clint Hurdle of the surprising Pirates. Both have surprising in front of their names, which makes this one impossible to call right now.

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